Conf = MAC-Commonwlth ------ State = D
Mascot = Mustangs ------ Coach = Paul CantabeneGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.8577271 home-field advantage = -0.53 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Ohio Wesleyan NCAC (15- 4, 91.3) 19-14 214 A Muhlenberg Centennial (10- 9, 90.3) 18- 6 222 H Christopher Newport CLC (18- 4, 95.3) 10-13 226 H Catholic Landmark ( 9-10, 84.6) 22-11 301 H Gettysburg Centennial (15- 5, 94.2) 6-15 308 A Dickinson Centennial (17- 6, 93.4) 16-10 314 H Lynchburg ODAC (14- 7, 92.2) 14- 8 315 H St Lawrence Liberty Leagu (12- 7, 93.1) 11-10 322 H Salisbury CLC (20- 1, 96.7) 9-24 326 A Elizabethtown Landmark (11- 7, 87.5) 13-12 405 H Eastern MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 9, 86.5) 23- 8 409 H Hood MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 5, 80.8) 17- 6 412 A Alvernia MAC-Commonwlt ( 7- 9, 76.5) 25- 3 416 H York MAC-Commonwlt (17- 4, 92.8) 13-20 419 A Messiah MAC-Commonwlt ( 6-11, 84.1) 25- 7 423 H Albright MAC-Commonwlt ( 1-16, 78.1) 28- 6 426 A Widener MAC-Commonwlt ( 4-14, 81.5) 21- 8 430 H Eastern MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 9, 86.5) 18- 7 503 A York MAC-Commonwlt (17- 4, 92.8) 10-16 510 N Lynchburg ODAC (14- 7, 92.2) 6-15
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Ohio Wesleyan 19-14 5 1 + 3.97 214 A Muhlenberg 18- 6 12 0 +++ 6.03 222 H Christopher Newport 10-13 -3 -2 -0.06 226 H Catholic 22-11 11 7 0.00 301 H Gettysburg 6-15 -9 -1 -- -5.12 308 A Dickinson 16-10 6 -2 +++ 8.18 314 H Lynchburg 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.86 315 H St Lawrence 11-10 1 0 1.81 322 H Salisbury 9-24 -15 -4 - -2.66 326 A Elizabethtown 13-12 1 3 - -2.79 405 H Eastern 23- 8 15 5 1.21 409 H Hood 17- 6 11 11 0.00 412 A Alvernia 25- 3 22 14 0.00 416 H York 13-20 -7 0 --- -6.53 419 A Messiah 25- 7 18 7 0.00 423 H Albright 28- 6 22 14 0.00 426 A Widener 21- 8 13 9 0.00 430 H Eastern 18- 7 11 5 1.21 503 A York 10-16 -6 -1 -- -4.48 510 N Lynchburg 6-15 -9 0 --- -6.61UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 H York 13-20 -7 0 --- -6.53 510 N Lynchburg 6-15 -9 0 --- -6.61 301 H Gettysburg 6-15 -9 -1 -- -5.12 503 A York 10-16 -6 -1 -- -4.48 322 H Salisbury 9-24 -15 -4 - -2.66 326 A Elizabethtown 13-12 1 3 - -2.79OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Muhlenberg 18- 6 12 0 +++ 6.03 308 A Dickinson 16-10 6 -2 +++ 8.18 314 H Lynchburg 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.86 207 H Ohio Wesleyan 19-14 5 1 + 3.97
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 91.79 Power Rank................. 25 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 74.30 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 28 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7336 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 10 RPI Rating............... .6303 RPI Rank................... 20 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 204 Selection sum ........... 44 Selection Rank ............ 13 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 0. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 24 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 40. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 14 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 16.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 22.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 22.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 22.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3